![[Picture: Judy Alster]](/images/bio/judy-alster-250.jpg)
"Buy good stocks. Know your stop-price. Keep protecting your profits
as your stocks move up."
"My three rules of investment writing:
Clarity. Brevity. Profit."
Hi, I'm Judy Alster and I'm the Senior Analyst for 21st Century Investor. To
tell you the truth, I'm a little on the shy side. Right now, instead of
doing this, I'd rather be finding a dozen stocks on their way up and telling
our subscribers about them.
But James DiGeorgia, publisher of 21st Century Investor, asked me to
tell you a little about myself and my investing philosophy. Also about
how I got to this point, what I do for our subscribers, and how I've been
succeeding at it. So here goes:
What I do is analyze and recommend stocks - stocks that are headed up
for at least a few months and sometimes longer. Every month I recommend
buying about eight or 10 of them in the 21st Century Investor newsletter.
When I think they've maximized their profit potential I recommend selling
them. My profit record is good; in fact it's quite good. I'll get to that
in a moment.
Mainly, I'm a "fundamentalist." I look at the company itself.
I find companies in growing sectors of the economy, or sectors that look
like they're about to grow, with the chance of dominating that sector
for a while. The companies I like are usually making a profit on increasing
revenue - or what's sometimes even better as far as the stock market is
concerned, they're just beginning to make a profit after several quarters
of losses. I prefer earnings that are solid operating profit, not tax
benefits or proceeds from asset sales.
The companies I recommend generally have cash flow from operations. And
after every single expense is paid they still have cash - this
"free cash flow" can work wonders for the stock price. The companies I
like best have management that's sharp and fearless. I find that when
management makes tough or even painful decisions, like selling non-performing
divisions, or restructuring, or even taking on some debt to make an important
acquisition, it often has a positive effect on the stock price. Short
selling is something I recommend rarely, if ever.
Now, it's great to find a hot or soon-to-be-hot company that Wall Street
is just beginning to pay attention to. And one of the biggest thrills
is when the stock is undervalued and really starts taking off, soaring
30%, 40% or even 50% in a couple of months.
But I don't mind a company who's under Wall Street's radar entirely.
A good company will eventually get noticed.
Here are the profits subscribers have taken on some of my recommendations
just since October 2003:
- 68% on IDX Systems
- 101% on Central European Distribution
- 53% on Vimpel Communications
- 34% on Arthrocare Corp.
- 77% on China Yuchai
- 20% on Closure Medical
- 69% on Cyberonics
- 31% on Diodes, Inc.
- 28% on PetroKazakhstan
- 58% on F5 Networks
My dividend plays are a little different. With dividend yielding stocks
I don't always insist on capital appreciation, and I'll generally hold
the stock as long as the dividend is good. But I still look for extraordinarily
sharp management and a promising sector. I firmly believe that every portfolio
should always have at least one good dividend-yielding stock. Currently
my Portfolio holds four excellent ones. Three have had surprisingly good
run-ups in price. All have terrific dividends.
My training and background are in journalism and marketing. I've been
researching and investing in stocks for my own portfolio for 20 years.
Three years ago James DiGeorgia hired me as a researcher and copywriter.
My job was to analyze stocks that other stock pickers picked, and write
about them for our publications. After a while I wrote about a few stocks
I had researched on my own, and they did pretty well. So I wrote about
a few more of my own stocks, and most of them did well too. Time passed
in that fashion, more and more of my stocks doing well . . . and eventually
they made me Senior Editor and put my picture on the cover of 21st Century Investor newsletter. (I admit, it was gratifying.)
I surely don't expect every subscriber to invest in every stock I recommend.
That would be over 100 stocks a year; the commissions alone would put
you in the poorhouse. What I do every month is present stocks in a number
of sectors and in several price ranges. The emphasis is on value, although
I do give space to growth stocks. My intention is to let readers choose
according to their own investment goals and preferences, their patience,
and their tolerance for risk.
Furthermore, I never just recommend stocks and then leave subscribers
to sink or swim. This is real money people are putting on the line.
I believe in some post-recommendation guidance and even a little hand-holding.
So for every stock I recommend, I give you a stop-loss price; that is,
a price 12% or 15% under the stock's purchase price. If the stock drops
to that price, you know you should sell. And sometimes it happens: I have
my clunkers, just like everybody else. But except in the case of two current
very low-priced Special Situations, you will never lose more than
12% on a stock I recommend, and never more than 15% on a low-priced
stock, if you stick to those stop prices.
There's more. My responsibilities don't stop with the monthly newsletter,
which appears on our Web site as well as in paper format. I also maintain
an online Portfolio. This is a performance monitor that gives you the
profit/loss percentage for sold positions, and the profit or loss on open
positions, for every single 21st Century Investor recommendation from
October 2002 to today.
The Portfolio is updated at the end of every trading day and is valuable
as more than just a tracking device. When a stock has made a respectable
profit, I will tell you how to protect it with a moved-up stop price:
Check the Portfolio and you'll find out if the stock has a new profit-protecting
stop price, and what that new price is. The Portfolio will also tell you
when I've sold a stock that looks like it's running out of steam.
So not only will you never lose more than12% or 15% - you'll never
hold onto a profitable stock too long and watch your profit evaporate.
The Portfolio is an incredibly valuable feature. We haven't seen anything
like it in any other stock-recommending service.